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An interesting set of graphs around the UK ICU admissions Admissions seem to be going down (I wonder if that is because the most vulnerable are isolating better of if it reflects what is happening) Geographic spread not changing much Lower demographics suffer more co-morbitities Age...

A paper from yesterday looking at test results and how people are symptomatic (with different classes of symptoms) https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2008457

I thought this was an interesting comment around symptom-free (from one of the UK scientific advisers) really saying symptom free is low level symptoms that can be ignored

One of the things that struck me about the experts on the group is how many of them have there expertise in influenza. This seems to include the virus people as well as the modellers. I've not seen anyone who has studied corona viruses in detail - one of the things I've noticed in TWiV on the...

I think we will learn that many people can work online from home quite well. Thus cutting a lot of travel both day to day travel and work trips. This could be a good thing for disabled workers in that it cuts out quite a lot of time and energy. Also good for carers (I've not gone on a business...

Yesterday on newsnight they had a care worker on who was talking about wearing the same mask all shift (and possibly multiple shifts) the doctor (it's hard to know if the experts really are experts!) who they asked talked about the masks being good for about 5 hours as they degrade and get damp...

If ME charities do want to look at Covid-19 research I think a good project would be a long term monitoring of people selected at random, tracking symptoms, recovery and how many had long term issues over a good number of years. As in how many who got Covid went on to develop ME like symptoms...

It probably shows the need to be extra careful with grant applications around ME. It maybe that someone didn't understand the need for a diagnostic test when there is no treatment. But it could be that a reviewer doesn't believe in ME as a disease and is looking for ways to pick holes. Either...

I wonder if there is a real issue that there aren't any politicians with a scientific background and I suspect that they don't know how to analyze the data and ask the questions. So they end up not asking their scientific advisors who don't seem to know what they are doing and don't understand...

@PhysiosforME have published a response https://www.physiosforme.com/opposition-to-fatigue-leaflet Letter signed by various groups https://cec5c48f-2e98-4bb8-9110-208373420a79.filesusr.com/ugd/4f94c1_c7aa8bd5b9c748888a32e5e992dd323f.pdf

That doesn't surprise me I think quite a few older people isolated early on. I think the spread over different regions is a huge factor which may well dominate over any other factors. London has been bad and that (I guess) is the area where people are most likely to travel to work by train.

The guardian is starting to cover some of the issues https://www.theguardian.com/society/2020/apr/19/disabled-people-left-off-coronavirus-vulnerable-list-go-without-food

The UK figures quoted are hospital deaths so they are not the ONS figures which look at death certs. There are corrected hospital figures which correct for the day of death rather than the day that the report was made.

There is a report here on spread https://nextstrain.org/narratives/ncov/sit-rep/2020-04-17?f_country=USA They let you see the data and do your own analysis by the looks of it. They have a player that plays through the spread patterns https://nextstrain.org/ncov/north-america/2020-04-17

I believe the New York cases came from Europe - there was an article around tracking of mutations that suggested this.

If you look at the UK the major city (London) was hit early and in a big way - and London is around 13% of the UK popuation. I wonder if the US population is more spread. In the US New York was hit but other large cities (such as Houston) weren't but still locked down (relatively early). So...

This document shows some potentially interesting correlations over different areas in the UK with infection numbers against various stats such as population density, age, disability, deprivation etc I'm not sure what to make of any of them in terms that none look that great a correlation to me...

My suspicion is that they don't have the data collected. One of the things I've been shocked about is the poor quality of data available it it taking a long time for reports to get through. But it does make me wonder if they don't have the data how can they make proper decisions. They are...

Isn't there a wider point here in that you can't do a meta analysis over the effectiveness of an intervention by including multiple different interventions. If Cochrane wants to review GET they need to go back to the treatment protocols and classify what is actually meant by GET. If they want to...

I thought one of the interesting things he talked about was whether the bad symptoms (putting people in ICU) were due to the virus or I think he was suggesting that they were due to the host response to the virus.