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  1. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    From what we have seen with ME the scientists that get into positions of power are not always (often not) competent and don't challenge the prevailing view. I wonder if this will be an emerging issue as people examine what happened. I read an article about when a the currency collapsed (I think...
  2. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    There was this article about a month ago about an abnormal number of pnemonia cases in Lombardy in late 2019 and an investigation as to whether it could have been a Covid-19 outbreak. But I've seen no more since...
  3. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    There is now a story in the guardian suggesting that given the names have leaked there is a rush to find additional experts to plug the gaps. https://www.theguardian.com/science/2020/apr/29/government-rushes-out-request-for-experts-bolster-sage-panel The current group seems very influenza...
  4. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Devi Shidrar seems to have been told to shut up But given the response she seems to be carrying on. But then look at the numbers of academics in the UK who didn't speak out against PACE.
  5. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    One of the issues with R0 is that if you measure it as an overall average for a country it could be low but it doesn't represent what is happening as there can be hot spots where transmission is still high. The danger being that if a hot spot gets out of control it could overwhelm local...
  6. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    The Singapore one is open source. The Austrailian one isn't open source but it isn't obscured so it has been decompiled and there is an analysis that the code seems ok Code is here https://github.com/ghuntley/COVIDSafe_1.0.11.apk is a repository with the code. A document cataloging the...
  7. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    From before mass gatherings were banned in the UK. There appears to be a bit of a hotspot in Liverpool after the Liverpool, Madrid champions league game. Also Cheltenham has a higher rate than the surrounding areas after the horse racing.
  8. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    The decentralized collection stops data being misused later and the UK app is associated with companies that do a lot of data mining - this could lead to poor adoption of the app. There is also a real practical issue in that not using the google/apple mechanism means that the app will run far...
  9. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    The figures depend on what is being measured. The UK figures mainly only include hospitals (I think the Scotland figures also include care homes) So the numbers are quite a lot lower than the actual death rate. This has been shown by the ONS who look at death certs but this is a retrospective...
  10. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    There is a technical analysis of the privacy aspects of the app here https://github.com/vteague/contactTracing Others are reporting some performance/power usage issues,
  11. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    I notice that one of the German advisors is a corona virus expert who also worked on SARS https://www.theguardian.com/world/2020/apr/26/virologist-christian-drosten-germany-coronavirus-expert-interview
  12. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Deaths are a lagging indicator so I would expect hospital admissions to go down prior to death rate. Testing has increased a bit which could be a factor on the reported cases (I don't think they report via symptoms but not sure). But the data does seem strange. (I also think we are poor at data...
  13. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    An interesting set of graphs around the UK ICU admissions Admissions seem to be going down (I wonder if that is because the most vulnerable are isolating better of if it reflects what is happening) Geographic spread not changing much Lower demographics suffer more co-morbitities Age...
  14. Adrian

    The biology of coronavirus COVID-19 - including research and treatments

    A paper from yesterday looking at test results and how people are symptomatic (with different classes of symptoms) https://www.nejm.org/doi/full/10.1056/NEJMoa2008457
  15. Adrian

    The biology of coronavirus COVID-19 - including research and treatments

    I thought this was an interesting comment around symptom-free (from one of the UK scientific advisers) really saying symptom free is low level symptoms that can be ignored
  16. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    One of the things that struck me about the experts on the group is how many of them have there expertise in influenza. This seems to include the virus people as well as the modellers. I've not seen anyone who has studied corona viruses in detail - one of the things I've noticed in TWiV on the...
  17. Adrian

    Article in Guardian: Covid lockdown opening up world for people with disabilities Apr 2020

    I think we will learn that many people can work online from home quite well. Thus cutting a lot of travel both day to day travel and work trips. This could be a good thing for disabled workers in that it cuts out quite a lot of time and energy. Also good for carers (I've not gone on a business...
  18. Adrian

    Question: Coronavirus & home sewn masks?

    Yesterday on newsnight they had a care worker on who was talking about wearing the same mask all shift (and possibly multiple shifts) the doctor (it's hard to know if the experts really are experts!) who they asked talked about the masks being good for about 5 hours as they degrade and get damp...
  19. Adrian

    USA: News from Simmaron Research foundation

    If ME charities do want to look at Covid-19 research I think a good project would be a long term monitoring of people selected at random, tracking symptoms, recovery and how many had long term issues over a good number of years. As in how many who got Covid went on to develop ME like symptoms...
  20. Adrian

    NIH Funding Opportunity Announcements

    It probably shows the need to be extra careful with grant applications around ME. It maybe that someone didn't understand the need for a diagnostic test when there is no treatment. But it could be that a reviewer doesn't believe in ME as a disease and is looking for ways to pick holes. Either...
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