Search results

Australian new case numbers went flat for about five days and now appear to be going down. Its possible this is just reporting lag, but it might be actually turning new case numbers around.

I see two main values, unless these are high grade medical masks which are purpose designed. First, you cannot touch your face under the mask, just don't keep adjusting the mask. Second, if you are infected they will stop small droplets from coughing etc. getting out. Viral particles easily pass...

This is classic exponential growth, and is contrary to human intuition. Those familiar with exponential growth, often scientists, are not surprised.

Again, Fauci just discussed this. The higher the initial load, the bigger the risk as the virus will replicate much faster, giving the immune system less time to respond.

I just saw an interview on CNN with Anthony Fauci who basically said as much. Its easy to contact trace small numbers, its impossible once large numbers are infected, and mitigation is the only strategy at that point. Once numbers are down you then need to do mass testing and lock down the...

Its also official that we have vaccine courts to provide compensation for damages. Its also on scientific record that many vaccines have produced massive damage. Such vaccines are usually then recalled fairly quickly. With vaccines its about relative risk. The diseases we vaccinate against are...

Adequate research has yet to be done, but my best guess is this drug, alone or in combination, is more likely to be used on severe infections, where the relative risk will be different from mild cases. The biggest issue though is what happens to survival rates, and what percentage get serious...

Moved from this thread Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control _______________ http://www.virology.ws/2020/03/19/hydroxychloroquine-reduces-viral-load-and-symptoms-in-covid-19-patients/ I only just realized how dramatically hydroxychloroquine, a cheap drug, lowers viral load for Covid-19...

Not to disagree, but to clarify for some readers, we have vaccines now. What we do not know is safety and efficacy, hence the commencement of trials. Once a vaccine is found effective and acceptably safe, we then need to expedite approval, manufacture in quantity, then distribute to where its...

I have seen from a number of sources that the rtPCR test is only 70% accurate, with a high false negative. This suggests that if you have symptoms, and test negative, you should still self quarantine. This may be why some patients test positive, then negative, then positive again. It might not...

Thanks, I started to suspect that after I wrote the post, as there was another thread on Colchicine, though I cannot find it now, maybe it merged. I don't doubt we will have repurposing. However the value of the drug to patients needs to be high or it will be hard to massively increase...

If you need it seek medical advice. ALL NSAIDs may be dangerous in a viral attack, they ALL suppress the immune system, as do cortisol style treatments.

I do not know this drug and its not coming up on a Google search for me. It might be a misspelling. Antiinflammatories might indeed help, but could also increase lethality. This is because many will suppress the immune system, depending on their specific mode of action. If it acts on...

A virus that jumps species can indeed cause symptoms. The issue is the target molecule it uses to enter the cell. Viruses for other species will typically not bind to a human version. If it mutates enough to do so then it might indeed cause symptoms, because the critical issue is can it bind to...

As I suspected a lot of things were not available to buy. The surprise was that even frozen vegetables are not available. Most basics like bread are limited to two loaves ... and it does not matter that I only get my groceries once every two weeks. I will have to look into priority home...

Right now my support worker is out buying groceries. I have enough for a couple of days. Its likely that many things, if not most, will not be available. The good news in Australia with our Woolworths grocery chain is that pensioners, including disabled, can apply for priority home delivery of...

Decentralised care sounds like a great idea, but I wonder how hard it is to implement? Partially implementing it is what I guess might be possible.

I don't regard any numbers as reliable right now. Instead I think of them as indicative. Anything with a distinct doubling period is a serious concern. It can go from not much of a problem to a calamity in a short time. Those who are planning to deal with issues need to take that into account.

Yes, this has begun.

I don't disagree. One of the huge problems we have faced is that everyone is being bombarded with information, and some of it is totally wrong. Just trying to figure out the optimal choices is hard when you don't have accurate facts or good understanding.