Brain Derived Neurotrophic Factor is Decreased in Chronic Fatigue Syndrome and Multiple Sclerosis
https://www.iomcworld.org/open-access/brain-derived-neurotrophic-factor-is-decreased-in-chronic-fatigue-syndrome-and-multiple-sclerosis-2155-9562-S12-013.pdf
I've no knowledge of their modelling approach but I would have expected that they would have expressed variables such as distancing or hygiene in terms of a range from say lousy to almost perfect rather than a checklist of govt policies and behaviours but I agree that individual behaviours may...
Weren't behaviours explicitly modelled in terms of 'how likely am I to be infected based on physical distancing/hygiene behaviour'? etc but by adjusting the values of these parameters they still couldn't match the data they were observing. I took it that his leaving the unexplained variation...
No discussion of this as yet? - Karl Friston of the independant SAGE group seems to be one of the few with his head screwed on :
"Karl Friston: up to 80% not even susceptible to Covid-19" :
Seems to me countries you list as orders of magnitude better in their response are the outliers. China's figures are dubious at least; S Korea had the benefit of previous experience in dealing with SARS (1) and according to some accounts were lucky enough to have been 'game planning' an ideal...
Indeed. Belgium has been criticised for being over-inclusive in their reporting but even adding in a 25% increase for the UK leaves the per capita death rate still at three quarters of Belgium's.
Meanwhile France only latterly started recording deaths in care homes and as far as I'm aware...
Can you justify this statement?
Looking at the Wordometer website, the UK in terms of deaths per million population (which is the only semi-sensible comparison at this stage) ranks below Belgium, Spain, Italy and France and not too far above the Netherlands.
Coronavirus strains may determine the the optimal treatment :
Coronavirus’s ability to mutate has been vastly underestimated, and mutations affect deadliness of strains, Chinese study finds...
If it is for the US, it ties in with what had been reported earlier for the UK :
https://www.kcl.ac.uk/news/loss-of-smell-and-taste-a-key-symptom-for-covid-19-cases
Director of the European Centre for Disease Prevention and Control says :
‘Nothing would have prevented’ virus spread, says health agency chief
https://www.politico.eu/article/ecdc-chief-nothing-would-have-prevented-coronavirus-spread/
This is from a few days ago but the King's College symptom tracking app suggests that the UK lockdown is slowing the spread of the virus which is in line with other data sources :
Lockdown is working, suggests latest data from symptom tracker app...
Germany lifts ban on foreign seasonal workers.
https://www.irishtimes.com/news/world/europe/germany-lifts-ban-on-foreign-workers-to-salvage-harvest-1.4226277
You would think?
Brussels drops lockdown exit plan after anger from capitals
Governments force Commission into U-turn over fears it was moving too quickly.
https://www.politico.eu/article/commission-to-unveil-exit-strategy-as-countries-push-to-lift-corona-measures/
How Europe failed the coronavirus test
Contagion’s spread is a story of complacency, overconfidence and lack of preparation.
https://www.politico.eu/article/coronavirus-europe-failed-the-test/
Makes a change from the usual self-flagellation.
I'm sure this has been mentioned before but if anyone want to contribute to better understanding this pandemic you can sign up to this symptom tracker app at King's College London :
New symptom tracking app aims to slow spread of coronavirus...
For what it's worth I was listening to local radio yesterday (BBC Radio Ulster Nolan show) and with regards to testing it was anecdote,anecdote, anecdote followed by a complete rebuttal from the chief medic.
Unfortunately testing in ROI appears to have been quite chaotic even if well...
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