Here's the summary I've posted on Twitter:
https://twitter.com/user/status/1806689605422326098
1) A new blog post about the problems with Postural Orthostatic Tachycardia Syndrome (POTS) criteria.
It’s quite a long read, so I’ll try to summarize the main ideas in this thread.
2) ARGUMENT 1: heart rate increases upon standing > 30 bpm are far from abnormal. In this study of the general population, for example, more than half of healthy young adults had an increase higher than the POTS threshold.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31476713/
3) Other studies found similar results. In the one below the median heart rate increase was 28 bpm in 120 participants aged 14 to 76 years.
https://journals.physiology.org/doi/full/10.1152/japplphysiol.00292.2013
4) In a German study the mean HR increase after 2 minutes of standing was 29 bpm. “In comparison with the previously published diagnostic limits for POTS, the reference values based on our population appeared to be higher”
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/8924754/
5) We see the same results in adolescents: the 40 bpm threshold is not very abnormal either. In the study below 10% had an HR increase above 39 bpm, and 2.5% above 52.7 bpm.
https://www.jpeds.com/article/S0022-3476(11)00884-5/abstract
6) Another study examined 307 public high school students and found that the 97.5 percentile was not 40 but 48 bpm. An older study from Hawaii reported that “
a healthy adolescent may have an orthostatic heart rate increase of 40 to 50 beats per minute.”
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jamapediatrics/article-abstract/516241
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0883073809359539
7) The reference data used to justify the 30-bpm threshold comes from POTS pioneers Dr. David Streeten and Dr. Philip Low in the 1980s and 1990s. However, they used shorter test durations (1-3 minutes) and did not adjust for age differences.
8) ARGUMENT 2: Most people with orthostatic intolerance (OI) do not have POT, whether you look at ME/CFS, Long Covid or patients referred to an autonomic clinic. in ME/CFS the majority of patients (62-92%) have OI symptoms while only a minority (ca. 20%) has POTS.
9) ARGUMENT 3: The correlation between POT and OI is weak. Symptom severity often correlates poorly with the magnitude of postural tachycardia.
10) One study of the general population, for example, found that: “
there was no significant correlation between […] heart rate increment on HUT [Head-Up Tilt]
and symptoms of orthostatic intolerance.”
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/23766503/
11) Another study noted: “One cannot predict which seemingly healthy adolescents will have high heart rate changes based on orthostatic symptoms.”
https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0883073809359539
12) Other studies divided OI patients into those that met the heart rate threshold of POTS and those that didn’t and found no significant difference: “There are […] no clinical differences between patients as a function of HR increase during standing”
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/31385108/
13) Some ME/CFS studies also report that “orthostatic tachycardia did not account for OI symptoms in CFS” or that “POT was not associated with OI to an appreciable extent.”
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC6547462/
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2590086220300094
14) Because of the weak correlation, moving the threshold likely won’t help much.
One study found that moving it to 38 bpm would still mean that 27% of healthy controls would still exceed it while 20% of POTS patients would no longer meet it.
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/22931296/
15) ARGUMENT 4: Heart rate increases after standing are influenced by many factors including sleep, salt and fluid intake, and deconditioning. There is almost no data on reproducibility.
16) Some studies suggest that a single test is not reliable. An ME/CFS study found that of the 7 patients who had POTS on a good day, 4 (55%) did not have it on a bad day. Of the 17 patients who did not have POTS on a good day, 8 (47%) had it on a bad day
https://pubmed.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/26374335/
17) For a more thorough discussion, see the blog.
Did you spot errors or find data that contradicts some of the statements in this blog? Feel free to contact me (mecfsskeptic@yahoo.com). Thanks in advance!