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  1. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    I thought this is quite a nice cartoon explaining the latest privacy enhanced tracking apps. I believe the apple and google approach is using these protocols - not sure about the proposed NHS one. It does rely on take up and people remembering to tell the app they are ill...
  2. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Given the article and the mention of a database where this information is exchanged its clearly something that is just going on in the background with out much associated publicity.
  3. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    I've not seen this story being discussed. Its talking about tracking infection paths by looking at virus mutations. Its interesting to see how they can try to trace mutations and therefore infection paths. https://www.nytimes.com/2020/04/08/science/new-york-coronavirus-cases-europe-genomes.html...
  4. Adrian

    Well-known, famous people with Covid-19 and Long Covid

    Maybe not that well known but a famous mathematician https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/John_Horton_Conway
  5. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    The model may already be wrong looking at the predicted death rates vs what has happened over the last couple of days where they were predicting 1300 deaths in the UK rather than the 900 we had. But the data in the UK seems so flakey that it is hard to tell. Also the UK data only included...
  6. Adrian

    UK - Resources for help getting food during quarantine and other supermarket related problems

    Well done I've not got as far as a complaint just having a rant here. I did feel like shouting at people - and I think I'm normally quite carm. The police sometimes seem to have strange priorities in how they enforce the rules. I do think if they had someone going into supermarkets at various...
  7. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Listening to today's UK press conference someone asked about exit strategies and whether this relied on a vaccine coming along and the answer (I think it is Powis) seemed to be there could be treatment drugs coming along as well. No mention of tracking and quarantine or any approach such as...
  8. Adrian

    The biology of coronavirus COVID-19 - including research and treatments

    I wonder if it suggest something about levels of antibodies or the effectiveness of the testing rather than real immunity levels. Also some of the 9 did get the disease but without symptoms.
  9. Adrian

    Coronavirus: Advice from ME organisations

    When the digital signature act came into law in the early 2000s I found it interesting that they excluded wills from it (at the time I was using a will as an example of the need for long-term secure digital storage).
  10. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    The whole thread is quite interesting it starts here
  11. Adrian

    UK - Resources for help getting food during quarantine and other supermarket related problems

    I've just been shopping to Asda and I'm concerned about peoples ability to keep a distance. Clearly there are a lot of people who don't get it. The staff are quite bad but they are generally just close to the other staff. The last couple of weeks when I shopped most people were keeping there...
  12. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Its not just that they are false positives its also the lack of balance in the population causes massive numbers of false positives for even quite an accurate test. If a population of 100,000 people where 3% have the disease are tested with a test with a 5% false positive rate then that is 4,850...
  13. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    This article is worrying on two counts. Firstly it seems to provide evidence that the UK government is following a herd immunity strategy although not admitting to it in public. This seems to fit with there in action of tracking. Secondly, the quotes from the the Home office's scientific adviser...
  14. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    Or was it a bad test. The WHO is giving the isolate 14 days after the end of symptoms as they see a risk people are still infectious after recovery I'm not sure what data that was based on.
  15. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    I was assuming that if they did a test, trace and quarantine system coupled with the lock down then that would be a relatively short time (6-8 weeks) till they could relax things but keeping the test, trace etc in place afterwards. But I'm fully expecting the lockdown to last a year or more as...
  16. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    The Faroe Islands have apparently tested a higher percent of the population than anywhere else! (10% of the 60000 population) then they are doing track and quarantine with 184 people having tested positive...
  17. Adrian

    The biology of coronavirus COVID-19 - including research and treatments

    I think someone should. There is another thread discussing some of this. I wonder if it is something CureMe could do maybe in collaboration with Kings (The Twins Study group who have a symptom tracking app and not the normal BPS groups). CureME have an understanding of the diagnostic...
  18. Adrian

    United Kingdom: Kings College London; South London and Maudsley NHS Trust

    I think we need to be concerned with the James Lind process but this means participating in it. It isn't coming from the BPS groups so it has a good chance of giving sensible results but it could be high-jacked if we aren't careful. It could be an important thing to influence the NIHR and MRC...
  19. Adrian

    Coronavirus - worldwide spread and control

    It could be I think it is more than a simple regression fit. They talk about the different controls in place and also the load on ICU so I assume there is a level of simulation within the model to follow forward but it could be based on current death, spread and ICU rates. Also the UK figures...
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