If you are referring to the seronegative spondarthropathies mentioned below, then no, because the HLA risk gene is different for them (B27 or C6)
OK. Are there other conditions that your proposed mechanism would predict would be more common among relatives of pwME?
I'm replying here to your post above only so that we understand each other better, but this is a peripheral point and I don't want it to distract from the discussion of your paper.
Suggestions that ME/CFS can be diagnosed at 3-4 months is to stop idiot doctors from saying that they cannot diagnose and advise patients about ME/CFS until 6 month have passed. For schoolchildren in particular this is a breach of human rights. But what an intelligent doctor should be doing is ignoring the criteria and saying that if someone is disabled by fatigue-type symptoms for three months then there is a significant possibility that in a year's time they will be understood to have ME/CFS. But if they get better at 5 months then I personally would say that they did not have ME/CFS in any useful sense, especially if the fatigue followed a viral infection because we already have another useful category for such people - post viral fatigue.
This is not about criteria for me. My point is that if someone is disabled by fatigue-type symptoms for three months
following an infection, then it’s much more likely that in a year’s time they will be well than that they will be understood to have ME/CFS. As currently written, the reader may well think that the person is more likely to be sick than well if they're an adult, at least until they get to p.4. I perhaps have less faith than you do that the reader is an intelligent doctor!
I think resolution in the early months and years is at least as important a point to get across than a distinction between those under and over 20.
Van der Werf et al. 2002
reported 2-3 times as much improvement and recovery in those ill for less than 2 years compared to those ill for more than 2 years.
I agree with you that what we’re trying to solve is the long-term illness. However, I would say that ME/CFS is, in post-viral cases, simply PVFS that lasts or recurs – I think they are more likely to be the same thing than different things. And I don’t think a cut-off of 6 months separates PVFS from ME/CFS well at all.
In this sentence…
Spontaneous improvement or even resolution may occur, chiefly with onset before the age of 20
[20].
…I wonder did you mean to reference Bell et al. 2001 rather than Bansal? I may have missed the bit you were referring to, but this is all I could find in Bansal:
The prognosis in children is significantly better with 80 % returning to normal health or much improved with mild persisting disability [
9]
where 9 is
Bell et al. 2001. But what Bell et al. 2001 found is quite different: 37% reported recovery, but only 26% reported “minimal, if any, symptoms”. I liked
Katherine Rowe’s study – she found
The mean duration of illness was 5 (range 1–15) years in the 50% who reported recovery. By 5 years 38% and by 10 years 68% reported recovery. At 10 years the mean functional score was 8/10 (range 2–10) with 5% scoring <6.
Regarding the vigilance vs responsiveness point, I didn't get the sense that the mechanism you were describing was particularly vigilant. It sounded more misguided or dysfunctional to me. But I may not understand it well enough yet!