Nick Bowden's presentation (see post #20)
Interesting talk. Lots of (preliminary) data to mull over
However, this study demonstrates yet again how difficult it is to get any representative population level data for ME
Nick has received a grant to look into the prevalence of autism in NZ. Interesting because autism very likely also has significant diagnostic inconsistency issues that make the usual public and medical records unreliable. Unfortunately the
newspaper doesn't say how Nick is planning on dealing with this problem but he has a little more money to do so (NZ$124,442) than he had for doing the same for ME (assuming he only had the ANZMES grant of $25,000, I don't actually know)
Would he have been able to get some significantly more useful ME prevalence data if he had had NZ$124,442 to play with? Or is there just no way with the available data?
I suspect the only way to get acceptably reliable data would be some updated version of that old telephone study by Jason (possibly this one from 1995?
Estimating rates of chronic fatigue syndrome from a community-based sample: A pilot study). In which case NZ$124,442 wouldn't go far
Anyone know how much such a study would cost, ball park figure?
There's also the question how much the ME community should, or is willing to, spend on epidemiology vs research into pathology and treatment avenues
Reliable prevalence figures would be great to have and could support more effective advocacy, especially if they catch the currently seemingly "missing" groups (e.g. non-Caucasians). But they would be unlikely to contribute much to understanding pathology. While it's theoretically conceivable there could be a genetic signal linked to ethnicity or a signal linked to environmental exposure it would take a much larger cohort to pick those up, if they're even there, than we could ever hope to get funding for in NZ
Is there a clever way of combining an epidemiological study with a
registry that would make each individual component cheaper but result in better quality data?
I'm guessing Nick is thinking about this, maybe together with Mona Jeffreys and Kahurangi Dey who're doing some feasibility(?) work into a registry as part of another ANZMES grant. If any of you are reading this, it would be great if you could join us here (there's also a private subforum option)