What we're not being told about ME - UnHerd (Tom Chivers)

Discussion in '2020 UK NICE ME/CFS Guideline' started by MSEsperanza, Aug 25, 2021.

  1. Wonko

    Wonko Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    3 days is rubbish.

    He's had well over 13 billion years to prepare.

    The fact that he couldn't even be bothered to exist for most of it, and spent most of the rest being asleep, or being 5, or doing totally irrelevant things, other than working on this, was his choice, and hardly a valid excuse.
     
  2. Adrian

    Adrian Administrator Staff Member

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    I think it was ignored in some reassessments as a trial arm as its not a real therapy. Perhaps the claim is that it makes PACE more than a trial with a wait list or treatment as usual but APT sets very different expectations and ways to think about symptoms from GET/CBT in their models so it was a bad control
     
  3. TiredSam

    TiredSam Committee Member

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    He'd only have make the effort to get to grips with it properly once, then he could have a string of articles out of it.

    Precisely.
     
  4. Trish

    Trish Moderator Staff Member

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    I'm thoroughly fed up too. I'm just looking for possible explanations, not making excuses for him. Where are the UK David Tullers when we need them?
     
  5. Adrian

    Adrian Administrator Staff Member

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    I'm not sure he is defending PACE but putting arguments given to him. I wonder if this is a useful article in that it might help us understand the arguments they are making (and they are not strong arguments)
     
  6. Hutan

    Hutan Moderator Staff Member

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    It certainly is useful in helping us understand what is going on.

    And worrying, because if there is a rethink of the Evidence Review, then that would destroy the main advance of the whole guideline process. At least we know better what we are up against.
     
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  7. Adrian

    Adrian Administrator Staff Member

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    I thought NICE had already redone some stuff in response to some of their spurious claims (and I think that was around criteria and PEM) wasn't that a previous delay. There argument doesn't seem very strong to me and they know the trial evidence is weak and so are relying on assertions that 'clinical experience' shows some people get better but they can't actually point to any evidence and as far as we know from the way clinics work they don't collect sufficient evidence to give them any justification for their claims.
     
  8. Kitty

    Kitty Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    It is, of course, but NICE had already done the work for him. In great detail and with not inconsiderable expertise.

    All he needs to assess is how likely it is that the NICE committee is made up of gullible idiots, and whether the objectors are actually presenting any scientific arguments. I'd be surprised if that took an experienced journalist three days.
     
  9. Adrian

    Adrian Administrator Staff Member

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    If he had access to the final docs (with responses and comments) or even read the draft + all the evidence review pieces I suspect that could take quite a few days.
     
  10. Trish

    Trish Moderator Staff Member

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    I think NICE are probably being bombarded by professionals from at least 3 directions:

    - the BPS researchers who can't bear their research being downgraded to very poor, with its impact on their personal reputations and future research funding.

    - the Rehab specialists who refuse to believe exercise based rehab can be bad for anybody, and are gearing up to be the experts on long Covid too, and see this as a threat to that.

    - the therapy organisations - OT's, physios and BACME who want to keep on doing what they do now.

    All of whom also believe that they have specialist knowledge based on experience that enables them magically to know which patients will benefit and how to individualise treatment plans, and are so confident in this that they think their expertise is better than research evidence.

    What a toxic mix.
     
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  11. Hutan

    Hutan Moderator Staff Member

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    A NICE guideline recommends the use of acupuncture for chronic pain, suggesting there is strong evidence for efficacy.

    So, quick assumptions about the capability of a NICE committee to get things right, might be wrong.
     
    Last edited: Aug 26, 2021
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  12. Kitty

    Kitty Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Surely he'd only really need to read the draft, though. The story is about the response to it by a group of doctors and researchers, who're conspicuously few in number and employing familiar and not very sophisticated tactics. That alone ought to raise at least one eyebrow.
     
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  13. Michelle

    Michelle Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    This. I've been thinking this very thing as we've all been going on about NICE guidelines. While it sounds like NICE have done the right thing with regard to ME/CFS, they clearly did a piss poor job when it came to chronic pain.
     
  14. Kitty

    Kitty Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    But it presumably wasn't the result of them being bullied into submission by "action" carried out by "militant patients", and it was the result of a review of evidence. The evidence might be hopelessly weak and the conclusions might be unreliable as a result, but it's still a review process.

    Those challenging the draft ME guidelines aren't bothering with either process or evidence, and that's the core of the story.
     
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  15. petrichor

    petrichor Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    So it seems like the two main reasons behind the royal colleges objections are the diagnostic criteria and the use of the GRADE system. Those are terrible reasons. There are good reasons behind requiring PEM, and even if PEM wasn't required, it's likely NICE would have came to the same or a similar conclusion, since NICE has other reasons for its conclusions and downgrading.

    The other reason is even worse - they don't want to use GRADE because it's hard to get good evidence in "complex" conditions. Well, that's the entire reason GRADE was created - so the evidence supporting treatments is good, and you don't just get to lower your standards as you see fit. That argument is strongly reflective of the one Turner-Stokes made in the BMJ: https://www.bmj.com/content/371/bmj.m4774, which basically boiled down to "GRADE doesn't give us the conclusion we want in this condition, therefore it's inappropriate to use".

    In my view this pretty well confirms that the motivations of the Royal Colleges are highly unscientific and contrary to evidence based medicine. The second argument about GRADE is just beyond ridiculous, and shows that the Royal Colleges do indeed want to abandon any semblence of evidence based medicine, and are actively working against it. And in large part they're basically getting away with it.
     
    Last edited: Aug 27, 2021
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  16. DokaGirl

    DokaGirl Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    One size fits all. It appears the Other Side still wants to lump in conditions like IBS, Fibromyalgia, and who know what else with ME, which will dilute and obscure the picture of this distinct disease. Something that seems to be an aim of this group.
     
  17. DokaGirl

    DokaGirl Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    IMO the Other Side has not accepted correction from our community for a long time. If ever.

    After all how could the lowly, crazy patients know what ails them? ;)
     
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  18. DokaGirl

    DokaGirl Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Agreed. Tough to do for many different topics. One as difficult as this one takes some doing.
     
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  19. Sean

    Sean Moderator Staff Member

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    Oh don't worry, they are expanding their remit as we speak. What will happen is that MUS (or whatever label it is trading under this month) will simply become an additional diagnosis on top of whatever real disease the patient has.
    Do you mean 'irrelevant'?
    Fair point. But in which case he needs to acknowledge that this requires a much deeper dive to comprehend the broader picture and the critical details in it.

    All he has done at this point is demonstrate why the current model of journalism isn't working. There is a very good reason why solid investigative journalism takes a lot of time and resources.

    Compare and contrast Chivers' attempt with Tuller's.

    (To be clear, I am not criticising Chivers for journalism being in this situation. But he does need to acknowledge it.)
    Exactly. Where is the hard-nosed skepticism about self-serving claims from the powerful that journalists are supposedly famed for?
     
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  20. Art Vandelay

    Art Vandelay Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Rubbish. Requiring PEM is hardly 'new'.

    The Canadian Consensus Criteria requires PEM and was published in 2003. The ICC also requires PEM and was first published in 2011. The IOM report was 2015.

    A half-decent journalist could have discovered this in two minutes of searching the internet.
     
    Last edited: Aug 27, 2021

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