Blog: The PACE Trial: How a Debate Over Science Empowered a Whole Community [Carolyn Wilshire/ME Association]

Discussion in 'General ME/CFS news' started by Andy, May 9, 2019.

  1. Andy

    Andy Committee Member

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    https://www.meassociation.org.uk/20...ence-empowered-a-whole-community-09-may-2019/
     
  2. Sly Saint

    Sly Saint Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    typo?
    "There are few in the ME/CFS community who have not heard of the PACE Trial. This £1.5 million clinical trial"
     
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  3. Jonathan Edwards

    Jonathan Edwards Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Very nicely presented summary from Carolyn.
     
  4. arewenearlythereyet

    arewenearlythereyet Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    This makes me feel, very proud.

    Hang on this ground is a bit high ...I might need to sit down.:sick:
     
  5. Cheshire

    Cheshire Moderator Staff Member

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  6. Robert 1973

    Robert 1973 Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Excellent, thanks @Carolyn Wilshire . A very useful and well-written summary for the lay reader.

    I spotted a couple of typos, as well as the £1.5 million one:

    “In our reanalysis, we set about to see what the results would have looked like if the protocol had been followed.”

    “However, in our response we decided to focus on the trial investigator’s own biases.”
     
    Last edited: May 9, 2019
  7. Lucibee

    Lucibee Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Another inaccuracy:

    This quote came from Richard Horton, not one of the trial investigators.

    I'm more than happy to read things through at short notice for no fee. I did used to be an editor once... Please, just ask!

    [eta: A copyeditor. Not a journalist.]
     
    Last edited: May 9, 2019
  8. Carolyn Wilshire

    Carolyn Wilshire Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Thanks, @Lucibee.

    It actually went past the eyes of three different people, but alas we still did not catch everything!
     
  9. Carolyn Wilshire

    Carolyn Wilshire Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Sorry, I'm confused. about the £1.5 million. What was the right figure? Thought I pulled that from a reliable source, but did I accidentally change the currency or something?

    Be worth getting the MEA folks to fix that.
     
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  10. Esther12

    Esther12 Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    I'm not sure anyone knows the true figure. 'over 5 million' seems to be the commonly used figure. A possible supporting source:

    https://impact.ref.ac.uk/casestudies/CaseStudy.aspx?Id=41185
     
  11. Robert 1973

    Robert 1973 Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    £5 million is the figure that is usually quoted, although I suspect the costs have exceeded that now.

    http://www.rae.ac.uk/submissions/ra5a.aspx?id=176&type=hei&subid=3181:
    [Edit crossed with @Esther12]
     
  12. Obermann

    Obermann Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Thanks, @Carolyn Wilshire, for a nice blog and for participating in this very important debate. I think that the problem is bigger than just PACE or ME/CFS; it is about widespread bad research practices, in medical studies in general and in psychological studies in particular.

    It is always painful to abandon a pet theory, so we should all appreciate what the PACE trial authors are going through. A quote by Max Planck comes to mind, about the reluctance of classical physicists to accept the new quantum theory: "A scientific truth does not triumph by convincing its opponents and making them see the light, but rather because its opponents eventually die and a new generation grows up that is familiar with it."
     
  13. Amw66

    Amw66 Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Sadly people are living longer
     
  14. Obermann

    Obermann Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    I'll settle for retirement. ;)
     
  15. Sly Saint

    Sly Saint Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    I'm surprised that they didn't spot it. The £5m (or sometimes $8m is used in US publications) is all over the place (a lot of headlines too).
    Good reference source is me-pedia
    https://me-pedia.org/wiki/PACE_trial
    @Russell Fleming
     
  16. Carolyn Wilshire

    Carolyn Wilshire Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    I think Russell's going to correct the cost error shortly. Sorry about that.
     
  17. Sly Saint

    Sly Saint Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    it's been fixed. no harm done :D
     
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  18. MEMarge

    MEMarge Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    Liking your comment on the end of this @Graham
     
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  19. JohnTheJack

    JohnTheJack Moderator Staff Member

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    Excellent blog, thanks @Carolyn Wilshire and anyone else who contributed.



    Not wanting to pile in on all those who did a great job, but some possible typos here.

    1.
    Para 7:
    Para 15:
    From the trial minutes, these changes were agreed after the trial had been completed but before the data were analysed.

    2.
    Para 10:
    The request was in 2015, the FTT decision was announced in August 2016 and the data were released in September 2016.

    3.
    Para 13:
    ...trial begins with a written...
     
  20. rvallee

    rvallee Senior Member (Voting Rights)

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    The problem is psychosomatic medicine making a comeback following a retreat that decades of failure brought on themselves. Psychosomatic medicine has always been this bad.

    The problem has always existed and always relied on confident pseudoscience indistinguishable from con artistry. It should not have been rehabilitated, especially since most of the old failed ideas have been recycled nearly as is. The theoretical model for psychosomatic peptic ulcers is nearly identical to the current incarnation of the psychosomatic model of ME.

    As long as magical thinking of that nature is allowed, the problem will remain. If peptic ulcers had not been solved by incredible courage, they would still feature prominently in MUS and "treated" with CBT/LP/ACT/Whatever. The whole thing has to be challenged as cheap pseudoscience, taken behind the proverbial shed and shot, lit on fire, buried, then the Earth salted and preferably nuked from orbit.
     
    Last edited: May 10, 2019
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