I was reviewing some of these previous comments on predictive coding
as far as I could see Edwards's 'model' would predict the opposite of what he said. It is all very hand-waving because nobody actually has any evidence for this predictive coding stuff
It is funny that their model of "predictive coding" works backwards to how predictive coding works in other fields.
The predictive coding theory of Hohwy, Friston and others says that what we experience is what the brain calculates to be the difference between what it expects to sense and what comes in from sense organs.
If this is applied to 'false beliefs 'about e.g. pain or fatigue then the story doesn't seem to work. The brain is supposed now to predict pain, despite there being nothing wrong. The sense organs should send in no signal. So the brain should perceive minus pain. Or for fatigue it should experience boundless energy.
And of course this is another example of what I bang on about. You need two explanations for a disease of regulation. You need an explanation of normal regulation and a completely different explanation of why that does not apply in a disease.
I want to summarise for myself, which I hope may also be useful for other later readers of this thread. If I'm following correctly the proposals are —
The brain is constantly predicting the environment. It may do this for all sensory inputs but this is theoretical and we don't have evidence for this beyond established things like being too fast for eg visual nerve conduction velocities. Allowing the ability to predict a ball's motion and move a hand to catch it faster than the time taken to receive/process/send the totality of visual/audio/motor signals.
The prediction is checked and if the real input signals are within satisfactory error, the model simply remains as "truth". If the input signals are out-of-error-bounds, the model is discarded and updated. So that is a mechanism of regulation claimed for the normal situation.
But BPS says "your model's totes out of whack my dude", making the prediction wrong (because "false beliefs") and that's why you are expecting pain, fatigue, whatever.
But as Jo says the real inputs are claimed to be zero pain, zero fatigue (because they say there's nothing actually biologically wrong in the periphery to give a positive signal). So the above mechanism should be invoked, the model refreshed with the bottom line result of "akshully no pain, fatigue" (or even minus pain, fatigue).
But BPS are claiming that the outcome is still pain and fatigue, as initially predicted and the model is ignoring the actual inputs. So the update mechanism is not invoked. So now two things are wrong: initial model parameters (I hurt / will experience fatigue); and no error-correction.
So we're left with (as Jo says) a requirement for how this works normally, but
also how it now fails / is inverted in illness. In which case "false beliefs" or indeed any psychological inputs are irrelevant, because the mechanism of creating and updating the model is broken. (Which if true sounds like there might be a structural problem...)
If the model-error-correction mechanism is indeed broken, as per the above requirement, you could fix it by simply telling yourself "no pain", "no fatigue" and the model would just stick with it. (This is LP/CBT/GET/ANS rewire etc). Lots of credulous people are very keen on the idea of brain retraining - why aren't they all fixed just by convincing themselves "no pain"?
It can't be that the brain retraining also repairs the model-error-correction bug, as again the problem would be fixed regardless of the person's prior ideas. Or you would now need
yet another failure mode where
initial_model = "no pain" + zero sensory input => "pain".
In other words you might need a third explanation for why these mechanisms don't apply in failed cure.
I hope I've got the broad strokes right.