@Medfeb , do you think DecodeME being funded will have any positive effect on the willingness of the NIH to fund ME/CFS research in anyway? Would be interesting to get an idea of what impact, if any, it might have outside the UK.
DecodeME will probably find genes and it will give other researchers something to study while increasing confidence that ME/CFS is a real illness and not a waste of time, and so it could lead to an increase in reseacher submitting applications.
Just my opinion of course but in the short term, I think the biggest positive impact of DECODE being funded is that it appears (at least from here) to be driving greater receptivity in the UK media to the ME biomedical narrative. That will help the US, particularly in the medical community, because the UK BPS narrative ends up here and influences the narrative. (Edited to add - NIH was already funding Nacul and attending/presenting at InvestInME - could provide additional connections there. )
In the longer term, if it were to identify a gene or genes, then of course that would give researchers something to focus on. But that's a way down the road and IMO will depend on the quality of cohort selection and validation, especially if ME is as heterogeneous as it appears to be. At the end of the day, I expect we will find its a combination of many factors that create the clinical presentation, not just genetics, and many of those are being studied in parallel. Some could take off in the meantime.
On "increasing confidence that ME/CFS is a real illness and not a waste of time" - my sense is that at this point in the US, the issue with lack of researchers is less about disbelief in ME and more about the way NIH funding works and the way that interacts with the state of the field.
Its a lot of work to develop a grant proposal and only a small percent get funded. If I were a researcher in an established field and confident in a solid funding every year, I would probably think twice about trying to branch into another field with factors like the following:
a) the biomedical research has been underfunded,
b) the studies that have been done are small and may be considered by reviewers to be not robust enough or too preliminary to get
NIH funding - this could lead to negative review decisions. (NIH funding focuses on hypothesis testing versus hypothesis generation).
c) the patient selection criteria and research instrumentation are still unsettled creating additional uncertainty in research conduct.
d) doctors are not diagnosing the disease so where will I find a clinical partner to work with to get patients into my studies
e) its unclear what level of strategic commitment each institute that needs to be involved is making - is it on their strategic plan,
are they willing to commit $ and people? The institutes have a key role in funding decisions.
e)....
The narrative of "Its hard to get funding for ME" and "it's a waste of time" to even apply are probably more significant in the US than "the disease is not real".
Just one person's perspective. No simple answers