Started as an edit to my previous post before I realized it was going to contain too much new information.
This might have led to Wessley believing that the whole "starts with a flu-like illness" thing was a sham -- but it's not at all sensible. There's so much that's weird about this that it requires some dissection.
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He says that half of people in the survey had the flu within that six month period.
Yet somehow, only one of thirty people who developed CFS had the flu in that same time period?
That's astronomically unlikely.
Okay, you may be thinking,
maybe what he means is that some of them DID get the flu, it just wasn't what gave them CFS.
But how could we possibly judge that? Not everyone has struck-by-lightning ME. I personally had numerous health events from which I never fully recovered before I met CCC criteria that finally diagnosed me. That was
years later. Many other pwME have the same story. What was the first thing I remember 'going wrong' and 'never quite recovering all the way' from?
Well, it was probably an enterovirus. In
2011.
I was diagnosed in 2014.
I hope it's needless to say that slow-onset doesn't somehow invalidate rapid onset, or vice-versa.
Ramsay seems to refer mostly or solely to rapid onset, and that's fine.
Now, with that most obvious flaw in reasoning out of the way, let's hit up a few others.
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Reporting is the other big issue. How do we know half had a virus? I should think that number should be higher. Where I worked, the majority of people had two colds a year. I'm sure there are outliers, but
the CDC confirms that 3 per year is average. So in a six month period, the average person has experienced 1.5 viral infections that they notice.
So the discrepancy makes me wonder how they found out.
Was it self-reporting? If so, how often did they ask? Just at the end of the six month period? Geez.
If it was from the doctor, then we're suddenly talking about only those viral-type infections severe enough to make you go and get checked. And those can get pretty bad before some of us go. I had a 102F fever the other day and didn't bother because that's still not considered 'severe'.
Both of these present with pretty significant issues, epi-wise.
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And now onto biomedical reality, away from questions of epidemiology altogether.
Even if they took blood samples and tested, that is no guarantee of lack of viral activity. Even today we cannot always spot viruses due to location (inside of cells; somewhat constrained to particular organs or organ systems) or viruses we don't know (we look for DNA viruses but it's an RNA virus; we have to know which virus we're looking for and there are sooo many undiscovered viruses). In 1990, that goes double.
So I'm not sure how he was ever convinced that his study
proved that there was no such thing as post-viral Ramsay and everyone was making it up. I mean, perhaps he didn't know what he didn't know, but it still seems absolutely inexplicable that someone with that level of education can be that blinkered.