The clinicians at Stanford could have done a decent study for not much more than it cost them to do the useless study that they published. They had patients willing to try Abilify, patients presumably with insurance to pay for the drugs and the clinician time to screen and prescribe - surely they could have just enrolled those patients in a cross-over study with a placebo treatment.To run the type of study they want to do at Stanford would cost $3million. This was the sum mentioned by Ron Davis in the Puzzle Solver book talk that I attended on zoom hosted by Stanford on May 14th but which I've not seen subsequently posted online.
So, let's do them elsewhere. We have a global community willing to help. I'm sure that a trial of Abilify could be organised in Australia for 10% of the figure Ron has suggested, probably considerably less. It doesn't need to be a big trial to be convincing and justify more research, it just needs to be well-done. Researchers might surprised at what could be achieved if they started working more closely with patients.The US is pretty expensive to do clinical trials.
the useless study that they published.
I actually think the paper was worse than useless, because it muddied the waters. It didn't move us closer to understanding if Abilify can help patients. Just like the PACE trial, it combines a lack of blinding with subjective outcomes. If I, a person with ME/CFS who really wants a useful treatment, can write off such a study as providing no evidence that Abilify works, it's certainly too easy for people in the NIH who don't believe ME/CFS is worth researching to do the same.The study was “not good”, but it was not useless.
They don't need to jump to such a large and expensive trial. What I've been trying to say is that clinicians could incorporate useful studies into their normal care of patients. Having got patient approval, the patient could enter into a double blinded crossover study. So, 2 months on the treatment or a placebo, then 2 weeks wash out, and 2 months on the placebo or the treatment - or something like that.Can you imagine if they applied for a grant for a 3 million dollar study with NO basis to back it up?
s there a reason it’s not happening?
I suspect the doctors that belive in LDA know deep down a trial won’t work, so they’d rather continue with «it might work».Does anyone know if an RCT for low dose abilify is happening any time soon? I’m surprised there’s been no follow-up.
The two clinics that treat ME/CFS in BC (Canada) use this paper as evidence for prescribing it off-label. I feel like a proper trial with a placebo would be important since so many people are taking this medication.
Is there a reason it’s not happening? Is the side effect profile too daunting? Mestinon and LDN both have RCTs in the works. Why not LDA?
Aripiprazole is a pharmacologically unique atypical antipsychotic whose principal pharmacological action is as a functionally selective partial agonist at dopamine D2 receptors, stabilizing dopamine activity by enhancing signaling when levels are low and reducing it when levels are high.
I know @Jonathan Edwards has expressed this view many times, but I have a hard time accepting it. Mind you, I don't have an alternate explanation for why we haven't seen even a poor quality trial, however - it really is baffling. It doesn't seem likely to be about money - there are many other supplements and drugs that are less likely to generate a response (and from which clinics surely make far more money) that do get shit-quality trials (and occasionally not-so-shit), why not LDA? If they were sure it didn't work and just wanted to keep promoting it, surely they know that even failed studies throw up enough smoke and noise that they can be spun as successes, but they haven't even tried that.I suspect the doctors that belive in LDA know deep down a trial won’t work, so they’d rather continue with «it might work».
The people that don’t think LDA works have no reason to do a trial when there are so many other things to spend resources on.
I feel like I see dopamine referenced for LDN all the time, but years ago when I looked the research was shaky. There was a monkey study that saw LDN increased prolactin I believe and it was thought it was dopamine prolactin feedback loop. LDA has a much clearer dopamine signal.I know @Jonathan Edwards has expressed this view many times, but I have a hard time accepting it. Mind you, I don't have an alternate explanation for why we haven't seen even a poor quality trial, however - it really is baffling. It doesn't seem likely to be about money - there are many other supplements and drugs that are less likely to generate a response (and from which clinics surely make far more money) that do get shit-quality trials (and occasionally not-so-shit), why not LDA? If they were sure it didn't work and just wanted to keep promoting it, surely they know that even failed studies throw up enough smoke and noise that they can be spun as successes, but they haven't even tried that.
From the outside (I've not tried LDA) and to someone as ignorant as I am, LDA certainly seems more promising than, say, LDN. As @hotblack notes, all the recent noise circling around dopamine really seems to make it an appealing area to explore... but apparently that's not happening.
Honestly, this is what I think too. Keep it at their original paper that says it’s great and don’t go further.I suspect the doctors that belive in LDA know deep down a trial won’t work, so they’d rather continue with «it might work».
The people that don’t think LDA works have no reason to do a trial when there are so many other things to spend resources on.
But then at the same time, this is exactly what I think too! It seems like a no-brainer considering how many people are taking it. I don’t understand how one drug is getting multiple trials and another has 0.From the outside (I've not tried LDA) and to someone as ignorant as I am, LDA certainly seems more promising than, say, LDN.
Laurel Crosby of Stanford usually replies to emails.Do any of you have ideas of who else to reach out to?
I’m an economist, I think in incentives.I know @Jonathan Edwards has expressed this view many times, but I have a hard time accepting it. Mind you, I don't have an alternate explanation for why we haven't seen even a poor quality trial, however - it really is baffling.
While not an economist, I certainly agree that this is an excellent way to approach the matter. I have been largely disabused of any notions concerning either the good intentions or the basic competence of many of the clinicians and researchers involved, so I have no problem believing that some/many/all would want to forego a trial in order to avoid potentially inhibiting their ability to Rx a money-making drug (whether that money comes directly from the drug or from its ability to attract patients to a given clinic) - that makes sense to me. What makes significantly less sense is why these same people do pursue trials for medications and supplements (e.g. LDN) that are even more widely sought after and Rx'd, while simultaneously being less likely to produce a favorable result.I’m an economist, I think in incentives.
Who says motivations, in economics or otherwise, are rational? We are all immensely good at fooling ourselves.What makes significantly less sense is why these same people do pursue trials for medications and supplements (e.g. LDN) that are even more widely sought after and Rx'd, while simultaneously being less likely to produce a favorable result.
They might not even need to be making money off of it directly. It could be as simple as feeling like they are doing a good thing. Or just staying in a secure job market because you’re not one to change jobs frequently.While not an economist, I certainly agree that this is an excellent way to approach the matter. I have been largely disabused of any notions concerning either the good intentions or the basic competence of many of the clinicians and researchers involved, so I have no problem believing that some/many/all would want to forego a trial in order to avoid potentially inhibiting their ability to Rx a money-making drug (whether that money comes directly from the drug or from its ability to attract patients to a given clinic) - that makes sense to me. What makes significantly less sense is why these same people do pursue trials for medications and supplements (e.g. LDN) that are even more widely sought after and Rx'd, while simultaneously being less likely to produce a favorable result.