1. Is the quantification of ventilatory threshold reliable?
From a quick bit of googling, it looks as though there is a good level of confidence in the measurement of ventilatory thresholds. I.e. they seem to be reproducible, objective and any issues with lack of effort from the trial participant can be identified. But I don't really know. Are there questions about the reliability of CPET measurements?
2. Is the finding of a lowered ventilatory threshold on the second CPET in PwME reliable?
I thought that the finding had been replicated by at least a few researchers, but I haven't looked at this in any structured way. Is this not right? Yes, more care probably needs to be taken to get unconfounded data.
3. If the finding of a lowered ventilatory threshold on the second CPET in PwME is reliable, is this not useful? Isn't the finding telling us that PwME are less good at using oxygen 24 to 48 hours after exercise whereas healthy people are not? If so, doesn't that give us clues as to part of what is going on?
4. Does exceeding the ventilatory threshold (or a certain heart rate) cause PEM? (and so can keeping below the ventilatory threshold or a certain heart rate allow for safe activity?)
Massey team said:
The hope is to understand how much those with ME/CFS can increase their heart rate without exhibiting symptoms of PEM, which will ideally provide individuals with a safe intensity for exercise. From this research we are hoping to discover a way in which symptoms of PEM can be reduced and therefore lead to individuals with CFS/ME to manage their condition better and have a greater quality of life.
There is a lot of confidently delivered advice to PwME out there saying 'keep your heart rate below x% of your heart rate at anaerobic threshold' or variations on this idea.
e.g.
Uptodate as quoted by Webdog in Post#6 above said:
A target heart rate range should be set to avoid overexertion, generally <100 beats per minute.
And there is little to no evidence to support this kind of advice. So it's good that the Hodges team wants to explore the question. But, as
@Ravn said, there's so much variability that I doubt that one paired non-maximal CPET per trial participant in a trial with only 20 participants is going to tell us much, even if they do take steps to ensure the exertion of travel and other non-test activity doesn't confound things. Things like menstrual cycle, and infections, and the timing and composition of meals, and the time of day the testing is done could all potentially confuse the result.
Also, there is no account made of the possible cumulative effect of exertion. Exertion that doesn't cause PEM when done once, or even twice perhaps may cause PEM if it's done for three days in a row.
If the Massey team really want to achieve their hope,
The hope is to understand how much those with ME/CFS can increase their heart rate without exhibiting symptoms of PEM
they would do better to issue participants with fitness trackers with step monitoring and an alarm set to go off at a specified heart rate, with an electronic symptom diary to be completed daily over the course of a few months.
If instead the Massey team really just want to use the CPET machine for something, then I'm sure that we could think of something better. Even just replicating the standard 2xCPETS but working hard to reduce confounding could help us answer 'yes' more confidently to the question of whether the reduction in ventilatory threshold is a reliable finding.